ISSUES FINAL 2005-2006 U.S. WINTER OUTLOOK:
Nov. 17, 2005 — As meteorological winter approaches, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center issued the final update to the 2005-2006 U.S. Winter Outlook. For December through February, the outlook continues to call for this winter to be warmer than the 30-year average. As stated in CPC’s El Niño Southern Oscillation Diagnostic Discussion from November 10, ENSO-neutral or weak La Niña conditions are likely during the next six to nine months. However, ENSO conditions are expected to have little or no impact on the United States this coming winter. (Click NOAA image for larger view of forecast winter temperatures for the USA. Click here for high resolution version. Please credit “NOAA.)
The update calls for warmer-than-average temperatures across much of central and western United States, including Hawaii, the Great Plains and Midwest. The Northeast, East Coast, Gulf Coast states and Southern California coast are in equal chances.
The precipitation outlook calls for wetter-than-average conditions in Hawaii and drier-than-average conditions in sections of the Southeast, including Florida and parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast; with equal chances elsewhere in the nation. (Click NOAA image for larger view of forecast winter precipitation for the USA. Click here for high resolution version. Please credit “NOAA.)
“Equal chances, for temperature or precipitation, means there are no strong or consistent climate signals for either above or below normal conditions during the season,” said Edward O’Lenic, lead outlook forecaster at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. “Therefore, the selected area has an equal chance of warmer than, cooler than or near normal,” he added. This outlook is based on the expected average for the entire winter season, December 2005 through February 2006.
wintry weather has begun in many parts of the nation and the key to
safety is for people to be prepared before winter storms strike,”
said James D. Laver, director of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
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